Risk assessment in corrections and probation

• Note: The research programme is running in collaboration with Vilnius Regional Correctional Inspection.
Background
• Risk assessment is the process of identifying and studying hazards to reduce the probability of their occurrence where the clinical task is prevention of criminality as compared to passive predictions that are the result of actuarial assessments (Hart, 1998)
• There are differences between risk assessments subject to purposes (prediction or management) and decision making context (Heilbrun, 1997, 2001; Dvoskin, Hart, & McNiel, 1999)
• Applicability and accuracy of actuarial and clinical assessments are different (Heilbrun, 1997, Litwack,200; Sjöstedt&Grann,2002; Hanson and Thornton, 2000, etc.
• There are different data classification procedures and methods of risk screening devices (Gottfredson&Gottfredson,1994; Grove& Meehl,1996; Silver, Smith, Banks, 2000, etc.
sampling
• N=50
• male
• One or more convictions
• Serving sentence for probation (under supervision of Vilnius Regional Correctional Inspection)
• Serving sentence to imprisonment (at Vilnius 2-nd Correctional Home)
• Participation was voluntary, and selection was random
Descriptive statistics
• the age ranging between 20 and 56 years (M=33.64, SD=8.01)
• nationality: 46% Russians, 36% Lithuanian, 10% Polish
• 72% natives from urban areas
• previous convictions ranging between 1 and 13 (M=4.50; SD=3.297)
• Kind of presenting offences
• - 60.8% property offences (fraud and theft), - - 19.2% violent crimes
• 10% drug offences
• 10% criminal misdemeanours
A Pearson’s Correlations
• Significant correlations at the two tailed level (p=0.01 and p=0.05) have been found between number of previous convicts and incarceration in adolescent, maladjustment within institution,...

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