Deflation: An extended decline in the average level of prices. This is the exact opposite of inflation--in which prices are rising over an extended period, and it should be contrasted with disinflation--which is a decline in the inflation rate. Like inflation, deflation occurs when the AVERAGE price level decreases over time. While some prices might decrease, other prices could increase or remain unchanged, so long as the AVERAGE follows a downward trend. Deflation is a rare bird indeed in our economy and typically happens only when we're in a prolonged period of stagnation. We might see some deflation during a fairly lengthy recession, but more than likely deflation saves itself for the occasional depression that dots our economic landscape.
Inflation: A persistent increase in the average price level in the economy. Inflation occurs when the AVERAGE price level (that is, prices IN GENERAL) increases over time. This does NOT mean that ALL prices increase the same, nor that ALL prices necessarily increase. Some prices might increase a lot, others a little, and still other prices decrease or remain unchanged. Inflation results when the AVERAGE of these assorted prices follows an upward trend. Inflation is the most common phenomenon associated with the price level.
One of the great debates currently raging amongst sophisticated investors worldwide concerns the near-future prospects for the US economy. An important facet of this mega-melee includes the intellectual firestorm brewing over whether inflation or deflation is the more likely prospect for the United States in the next few years.
The great inflation or deflation question is exceedingly important on multiple fronts. For investors, being right or wrong on this key issue could mean the difference between amassing great fortunes or walking away empty-handed with grievous losses of bubblicious NASDAQ proportions. Some investments that thrive during inflationary times can be as...
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